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A weekly field report on what survives when trading ideas are forced through validation.
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Aug 16, 2026
I tuned 546 versions of one strategy. Unseen data showed me what I'd actually built.
Aug 11, 2026
How one bad year becomes a "seasonal" - and the three line filter that catches it.
Aug 2, 2026
The profit factor tells you how the edge performed at one cost level. The breakeven cost tells you how fragile it is
Jul 26, 2026
You ran five million backtests. Some of those winners are luck — and the standard hurdle cannot tell you which ones.
Jul 19, 2026
You validated on 1 market. There are 3,000.
Jul 12, 2026
History remembers the entry. The data remembers the exit.
Jul 5, 2026
A coin flip scores a 1.93 profit factor on daily SPY. That is the floor a real edge has to clear by margin.
Jun 28, 2026
The first question Pivot Point asks is not where the market goes. It is what the market is.
